Brigadier Nadir Mir
24. Mar, 2012
2012 onwards, the world is on the brink of Third World War. All sane
and peace loving men would pray and strive that it is averted. For the
horoscope of the times point towards a global catastrophe in the making.
The guns of August 1914 – 1st World War paled in front of the Panzer
Blitzkrieg of September 1939 Second World War. The Third World War
during Cold War was averted between NATO and Warsaw Pact Forces. If war
breaks out in 2012 onwards, Nukes shall speak and tragically billions
may die. If there is war, it will most likely spread to be global plus
nuclear, and without method in the madness.
This apocalyptic scenario may yet come to pass, unless it is stopped in its tracks.
Opposing Alliances. US globalists (left over
Neocons, Military – Industrial complex and their ilk) led NATO still
want to dominate the world (despite their disaster in Iraq –
Afghanistan). It is not only that the Western World's global dominance
stands challenged, but the march of history may be reversed. From the
1500's (seafaring age) scientific discoveries, industrialization,
political revolutions, colonialism, and technology ascendency, the world
has been controlled by western powers. British Empire, Napoleon’s
France, Hitler’s Germany and more recently USA have all been part of the
Western world’s bid for global hegemony or control. Now the west is
really in decline. USA the great power, land of mass production faces
economic stagnation if not full decline. EU faces its own economic
predicament. Some Europeans and Americans find the idea of a powerful
Germany leading Europe (a natural process) as unacceptable so far. Two
World Wars were fought among other reasons to prevent Germany from its
rightful place under the sun.
An Intra European conflict may be
brewing for leadership of Europe. Even as US – NATO alliance conflicts
with the dialectic alliance Russia – China.
US Geo strategy has been embroiled in Afghanistan and Iraq, but now seeks to extend the war to Iran – Pakistan.
Of course the real war is against Russia – China, the opposing alliance. Washington
sees China rising (US trying to contain it from Pacific to Indian
Ocean) Russia resurgent, Islamic world defiant (with Arab Spring likely
to turn Anti west,) Israel endangered, besides Western economic decline.
American politics for 2012 and the Presidential Elections are upping
the war ante (forcing President Obama to strike Iran or support Israel
in doing so) or risk losing his reelection. Delhi seeks US Power to
denuke, balkanize, deIslamize Pakistan, before US departure from
Afghanistan region. Israel is straining on the leash before Iran
develops the Nuclear Arsenal. This will change the strategic balance
followed by Nuclear Saudi Arabia, Turkey, and Egypt etc.
In Afghanistan US seeks to retain a (25000 strong force) SOF/Air
Force for denuclearization of Iran – Pakistan. It may seek independence
of Baluchistan (with Indian support.) A clash with Pakistan is likely
though not inevitable. Delhi wants to use American Power to fight
Pakistan (but absurdly believes it can escape the nuclear
conflagration). The war with Iran is even nearer 2012. US – NATO may
attack Iran followed by Pakistan or both together. An Israeli attack on
Iran is even more likely and Indian attack on Pakistan (Cold Start)
always remains a possibility.
Russia – China are Allies against US – NATO Geo strategy (Iran and
Pakistan are joining this alliance but also the Battle Space.) China is
rising economically, Russia is resurgent strategically. After Iraq,
Afghanistan, they have seen Libya humbled by NATO power. The US –NATO
model of regime change by sponsoring local militants – Northern
Alliance in Afghanistan, in Libya (NATO trained anti Gaddafi Rebels),
Syria (Syrian Rebels plus ex Libyan Rebels ) In Iran (non Persian ethnic
groups, anti regime Diaspora ) in Pakistan (instead of regime change,
keeping pliant puppets in power, or sponsoring Baluch rebels against
Pakistan.) In Russia, President Putin himself has accused the US of
instigating opponents of United Russia. In China, using India for
fermenting trouble in Xinjiang, Tibet etc. All this is unifying the
alliance of Heart land powers Russia –China and critical Rim land state
actors Iran – Pakistan into an Anti US – NATO alliance. But events are
moving too fast. The Mayan Prophesy of 2012 catastrophic year
approaches. US – NATO-India clash with Pakistan or US – NATO- Israel
clash with Iran will lead by default or design to multi regional war
going Global.
The combined Geopolitical space of Pakistan – Afghanistan –Iran –
Iraq (backed by) Russia – China is beyond the US – NATO reach (It has
already over reached) Putin’s reported warning to his generals, ‘Prepare
for Armageddon’,must be taken seriously.
Putin is a great leader in the tradition of RussianHistory. China
has already alerted its Navy in the Pacific. North Korea can always do
the unpredictable, more so now with the young Kim in power!
US – NATO war against Iran could be catastrophic, but against
Pakistan it could be dooms day! US – NATO may have Turkish/Saudi support
against Syria but in Pakistan’s case both Saudi Arabia – Turkey will
support Pakistan. In fact War against Pakistan is very complicated plus
suicidal!
Firstly Pakistan is neither threatening nor
attacking anybody. It is on high moral ground, despite US – propaganda
on militants to nuke insecurity!
Secondly Pakistan will be defended by its Soldiers
and People. (190 million despite US – Indian attempts to divide them on
different lines).
Thirdly Pakistan will defend itself at any level –
sub conventional (asymmetrical), conventional (armed forces) above
conventional (nuclear –WMD)
Fourthly There will be no foreign inspired civil war
in Pakistan. Pakistanis are united to defend the mother land. Even
militants are on the wane or will fight foreign invaders. A few Baluch
rebels are being instigated by Delhi – Neocons. (The Baluch should be
appeased by Islamabad). All major and minor political parties and people
want an end to the Afghan War and peace in Pakistan.
Fifthly Iran, China, Saudi Arabia, Turkey, Russia will support Pakistan even for different Geopolitical reasons.
Sixthly A low intensity war in Geopolitical black
hole of Afghanistan, Pakistan, Iran, Iraq will defeat US – NATO (with
war weary public, declining economy at home). A perfect catastrophe! A
conventional war, more so on two fronts for Pakistan (US – NATO strike
in the west, and Indian Cold Start in the east) will quickly reach
nuclear threshold. If Pakistan is being destroyed by enemy fire power
plus nukes it will strike back into India and attacking forces / region.
Loose nukes from a destroyed Pakistan could explode in Israel – western
cities leading to a nuclear retaliation chain cycle. The war going
Global, nuclear destructive and radioactive. The Russian view that
attack on Pakistan with lead to Thermonuclear War was in this context.
A war the US led NATO cannot win. With hundreds of millions or
billions dead only a sick, demented man could term it as a victory. The
real winner of the Second World War was USA whose homeland was
untouched, and rose to become the sole super power. If there are any
victors, it would be Russia – China unless the war involves them
directly (something which the globalists hope to achieve – lure Russia –
China by attacking Iran).
The Arab Spring – Muslim World would revolt in Anti Americanism as
war with Iran – Pakistan and carnage becomes apparent. The western
homeland and initiators of attack will be burnt by the flames they help
ignite themselves (albeit radioactive fires).
It is near midnight. Geopolitics of Peace is the solution.
The US – NATO must relent on Afghanistan, of course no war with Iran
and no interference in Baluchistan. The alternative is too horrible to
contemplate.
Besides the innocent people of Iran and Pakistan, the cultured people
in Europe and good hearted, charity giving, amiable folks in USA are
being duped by their Neocons and hawks plus globalists. Shocked when the
bastion of capitalism, Wall Street came under siege and fearing rapid
collapse, war abroad is their illogical choice. Even in Israel, half the
population is against the coming war. Over all the good Jewish people,
with their historical sense of survival seek peace and security.
Pakistan is not anti Semitic, but has deep sympathy with people in
Palestine. Still peace in the Middle East would be welcome to all. The
American globalists however are adamant to drive the American Titanic
into the global iceberg. But this war will be self defeating for all.
A new paradigm shift is needed, rather than beating the drums of war.
Moscow under President Putin has a great role to deter the American war
hawks, aided by the peace loving Chinese. The Germans and other anti
war Europeans, besides the good people of USA must join hands to abort
this global conflagration. Russia’s key role in global peace, security
for Israel, no attack on Iran, establishment of Palestine State, US –
NATO exodus from Afghanistan, no interference in Baluchistan, return of
Kashmir to Pakistan, US – China amity, all have to be part of
Geopolitical peacemaking and war avoidance.
The alternative global nuclear war is too apocalyptic to contemplate.
