Zaid Hamid,
The 4th Generation war against Pakistan has now been upgraded to new anarchic levels – the 5th Generation war! When objectives of the 4th GW are not achieved, then the next strategy is deployed – to keep the target country in a perpetual state of chaos and anarchy. Under the 4GW, the anarchy should have led to the Af-Pak and Cold start invasions to dismember the country like Iraq or Yugoslavia. But since, Pakistan army still remains a strong deterrence, Af-pak and Cold start is being delayed and more focus would be on keeping the country on anarchic boiling levels till the time the US and the Indians are ready for the high intensity conventional or non-conventional conflict.
To the advantage of Pakistan and to the surprise of the US and India, US economy is crashing at home and the ISAF is losing their war in Afghanistan. Their prime assets TTP and BLA have taken severe hits in Pakistan at the hands of a determined Pakistan army. NATO supplies still remain highly vulnerable in Pakistan and nuclear weapons still remain intact, protected and secured by Pakistan’s armed forces. The objectives and aims of the 4thGW had to scaled back under these setbacks and now more focus would be on creating internal anarchy to further “soften” the Pakistani state and armed forces – the 5th GW.
The rule of these new generation warfare are:
“Whoever is first to recognize, understand, and implement a generational change can gain a decisive advantage. Conversely, a nation that is slow to adapt to generational change opens itself to catastrophic defeat”
As the entire focus of the regime and the judiciary is on holding elections, the insurgents, terrorists and the militants are on a rampage all across the country in a devastating anarchic urban war. The state has almost collapsed in Sindh, Baluchistan and NWFP with Punjab suffering from social and economic anarchy due to power and energy crisis. It is a total war on all axis with no response strategy from any quarter.
There is no confusion now about the direction of events under the deployed 4th and 5thGW. The only crisis is that the army Chief remains frozen in indecision and fear of the unknown while the fire burns all axis of the state, economy and national unity. The CJ and Zardari are hopeless cases to start with. Media would remain hostile and continues to degenerate every day. The new political aspirants remain blissfully naive of the collapse and have their own ambitions to achieve irrespective of the cost nation will have to bear. As such, army remains the only institution to pull the country out of the collapse but remains undecided and confused on the strategy to adopt.
The fact of the matter is that the anarchy has already gone out of control of the army, government and the judiciary. The insurgents, enemies and the hostile players have the initiative and the advantage of surprise. The state waits, takes hits and falls back more and more into its shell conceding more and more space to the enemies on all axis. As such, defeat of the state of Pakistan is certain but what is more painful is that the leadership sees it coming and still remains unable and too fearful to respond despite having the capability to respond and reclaim the lost ground. This is the real tragedy.
Holding the elections is the key element in unleashing the full fury of the 5th generation war. The leadership remains complete and total idiots or collaborators. As such, sans a miracle, the fate of this nation is sealed.
Finally, Pakistan army changes its entire military doctrine recognizing the 4th Generation War and 5th Generation war as the real and immediate danger to Pakistan. For years, we were hammering this idea that urban decentralized asymmetric warfare is the biggest threat to Pakistan as part of the 4thGW.
While there is a war going on within Pakistan and we fight for the heart, soul and integrity of our beloved land, Allah is helping us in strange ways. Keep an eye on the economic collapse in US also. The wars on Afghanistan and within the Muslim world have destroyed the US economy at home, just as it did with the former Soviet Union. As Allama Iqbal had predicted ” this civilization has now committed suicide with its own dagger”! US economy has been given an artificial breather for two months now but they have to cut expenses, raise taxes and launch massive austerity measures and still cannot save themselves from a total economic meltdown. It is a written destiny now for this interest based paper currency backed banking system. US dollars is now going to crash big time.
Now US cannot wage direct wars within Muslim world, that is why they depend upon 4th and 5th generation wars. Now, it is time that we throw the US out of Afghanistan for a permanent peace in the region. We must block NATO supplies again and help the Afghans to do with the Americans and NATO what we did to the Soviets. It is time for payback after what CIA and RAW has done to Pakistan in the last 10 years. This is natural divine justice.
To achieve a decisive victory in the region, we need a strong patriotic government in Islamabad not a corrupt, compromised and treacherous democracy which any next elections would throw up. Know the opportunities Allah is giving you. This window wont remain open for long. It is time to crush the Americans and finish this filthy war.
Taking advantage of the anarchy, chaos, confusion and weakest leadership in Pakistan, Indian tried to change the geography of the Line of Control on the Kashmir front. A short, fierce battle ensued but Indians failed and were pushed back though the environment in the area remains tense. For many months now, Indians have been focusing on supporting the insurgencies, TTP and BLA against Pakistan and had not been directly engaging Pakistan army on the eastern sector. This attempt by the Indians is a feeler to test the waters and the preparedness of Pak army. In the coming months, Indians will be conducting more or such probing attacks as the situation within Pakistan is expected to get more and more chaotic.
With the political anarchy spreading across the entire country, the levels of violence, terrorism, urban insurgency and chaos is also rising exponentially. This week also, we saw insane levels of violence in every corner of the country. There is definitely urgency within the insurgents to exploit the political and judicial anarchy.
Security forces are fighting back with all the resources in a war which is a high intensity conflict in an urban environment. From jet fighters to special operations by covert means, all axis of force is being deployed.
There is no doubt that the CIA backed TTP has been badly bruised and pushed back into Afghanistan after a long bloody slog by the Pakistan army. Now the insurgent group is weakened, isolated, dislocated and suing for peace to gain time to regroup. Signing any peace deals with the dreaded terrorist group when they are at their weakest would be a catastrophic military blunder and army is cautioning the government not to rush into any offer by the militants.
But the mission of Pakistan army has been made near to impossible by direct CIA involvement to destroy any pro-Pakistan assets in the region to fight the TTP. There is absolutely no doubt now that CIA is fighting Pakistan through the proxies of TTP and BLA and is actively eliminating all those tribals who sign peace deals with Pakistan or show their willingness to fight the TTP. This treacherous betrayal by the CIA is stil NOT acknowledged at the official levels though everyone knows about it at all levels. The secretary defense Lt General Asif Yasin Malik had even mentioned this last week.
This week, CIA eliminated a strong pro-Pakistan local militant commander, Mullah Nazeer, who had earlier survived an assassinating attempt by the TTP. Once TTP failed, CIA sent in a drone to finish the job. In another attack, another pro-Pakistan commander belonging to Hafiz Gul Bahadur group was targeted and eliminated. It is actually that dirty war where CIA is directly fighting Pakistan but the government and the army leadership still remains silent.
While the 4th and 5th generation wars rage within Pakistan, the politicians remains busy in petty squabbles, power grabbing, turf wars and preparing for elections, creating more and more anarchy every day. There is absolutely no concern for the national security, economic collapse or the political or ideological vision. It is a fish market with a bloody touch. MQM and the new entrant Dr. Tahir ul Qadri are threatening a “drone attack” on Pakistan within the next week and turning Islamabad into another Tehreer square.
The ruling PPP’s alliance with other parties is now in a chaos also with all other parties flexing their muscles and looking for best opportunities to grab more power and wealth. Downright dirty it is. Zardari is genuinely concerned now as the date of the “long march” approaches.
Meanwhile, the common citizens and the society suffer staggeringly as the government destroys the last remnants of the state and the economy. It is an artificially created crisis of gas to protect and “bless” the cartels in power to make windfall profits through imports of oil.
As the “last straw” on the camel’s back, the government plans to deploy 150,000 troops for election duties, drawing the already over stretched army from counter insurgency operations and defense of the country on the East. Drawing such a huge number of troops from the strategic reserves or from the active duty troops would mean depleting the national defense to dangerous levels. For now, Pakistan army is going along the PPP regime’s plans but in our assessment this is a fatal mistake which will have staggeringly high cost later on.
The next two weeks would be very critical and decisive in the country. On January 14th, “tehreer square” styled sit in is planned in Islamabad by “millions” of followers of Altaf Hussian and Tahir ul Qadri – the gangster and the priest have joined hands in a most bizarre alliance which is threatening not just the remains of the government but also the entire decayed political system!
If the march goes ahead, then the field would be open for all forces to intervene. The terrorists would have the sitting ducks to target. The government would deploy its resources to stop the marchers from reaching the parliament. Army would watch in silence with troops ready close by for any intervention if needed.
We would advice no traveling even within Islamabad after 12th January. The game is wide open now but the government and the judiciary as well as the media and the army remains focused on the elections for now or the spoilers who have come from outside to change the rules of the game. The national security and the 4th and 5th generation war is definitely not the priority of any of the power brokers for now. That is the real tragedy.
The 4th Generation war against Pakistan has now been upgraded to new anarchic levels – the 5th Generation war! When objectives of the 4th GW are not achieved, then the next strategy is deployed – to keep the target country in a perpetual state of chaos and anarchy. Under the 4GW, the anarchy should have led to the Af-Pak and Cold start invasions to dismember the country like Iraq or Yugoslavia. But since, Pakistan army still remains a strong deterrence, Af-pak and Cold start is being delayed and more focus would be on keeping the country on anarchic boiling levels till the time the US and the Indians are ready for the high intensity conventional or non-conventional conflict.
To the advantage of Pakistan and to the surprise of the US and India, US economy is crashing at home and the ISAF is losing their war in Afghanistan. Their prime assets TTP and BLA have taken severe hits in Pakistan at the hands of a determined Pakistan army. NATO supplies still remain highly vulnerable in Pakistan and nuclear weapons still remain intact, protected and secured by Pakistan’s armed forces. The objectives and aims of the 4thGW had to scaled back under these setbacks and now more focus would be on creating internal anarchy to further “soften” the Pakistani state and armed forces – the 5th GW.
The rule of these new generation warfare are:
“Whoever is first to recognize, understand, and implement a generational change can gain a decisive advantage. Conversely, a nation that is slow to adapt to generational change opens itself to catastrophic defeat”
As the entire focus of the regime and the judiciary is on holding elections, the insurgents, terrorists and the militants are on a rampage all across the country in a devastating anarchic urban war. The state has almost collapsed in Sindh, Baluchistan and NWFP with Punjab suffering from social and economic anarchy due to power and energy crisis. It is a total war on all axis with no response strategy from any quarter.
There is no confusion now about the direction of events under the deployed 4th and 5thGW. The only crisis is that the army Chief remains frozen in indecision and fear of the unknown while the fire burns all axis of the state, economy and national unity. The CJ and Zardari are hopeless cases to start with. Media would remain hostile and continues to degenerate every day. The new political aspirants remain blissfully naive of the collapse and have their own ambitions to achieve irrespective of the cost nation will have to bear. As such, army remains the only institution to pull the country out of the collapse but remains undecided and confused on the strategy to adopt.
The fact of the matter is that the anarchy has already gone out of control of the army, government and the judiciary. The insurgents, enemies and the hostile players have the initiative and the advantage of surprise. The state waits, takes hits and falls back more and more into its shell conceding more and more space to the enemies on all axis. As such, defeat of the state of Pakistan is certain but what is more painful is that the leadership sees it coming and still remains unable and too fearful to respond despite having the capability to respond and reclaim the lost ground. This is the real tragedy.
Holding the elections is the key element in unleashing the full fury of the 5th generation war. The leadership remains complete and total idiots or collaborators. As such, sans a miracle, the fate of this nation is sealed.
Finally, Pakistan army changes its entire military doctrine recognizing the 4th Generation War and 5th Generation war as the real and immediate danger to Pakistan. For years, we were hammering this idea that urban decentralized asymmetric warfare is the biggest threat to Pakistan as part of the 4thGW.
While there is a war going on within Pakistan and we fight for the heart, soul and integrity of our beloved land, Allah is helping us in strange ways. Keep an eye on the economic collapse in US also. The wars on Afghanistan and within the Muslim world have destroyed the US economy at home, just as it did with the former Soviet Union. As Allama Iqbal had predicted ” this civilization has now committed suicide with its own dagger”! US economy has been given an artificial breather for two months now but they have to cut expenses, raise taxes and launch massive austerity measures and still cannot save themselves from a total economic meltdown. It is a written destiny now for this interest based paper currency backed banking system. US dollars is now going to crash big time.
Now US cannot wage direct wars within Muslim world, that is why they depend upon 4th and 5th generation wars. Now, it is time that we throw the US out of Afghanistan for a permanent peace in the region. We must block NATO supplies again and help the Afghans to do with the Americans and NATO what we did to the Soviets. It is time for payback after what CIA and RAW has done to Pakistan in the last 10 years. This is natural divine justice.
To achieve a decisive victory in the region, we need a strong patriotic government in Islamabad not a corrupt, compromised and treacherous democracy which any next elections would throw up. Know the opportunities Allah is giving you. This window wont remain open for long. It is time to crush the Americans and finish this filthy war.
Taking advantage of the anarchy, chaos, confusion and weakest leadership in Pakistan, Indian tried to change the geography of the Line of Control on the Kashmir front. A short, fierce battle ensued but Indians failed and were pushed back though the environment in the area remains tense. For many months now, Indians have been focusing on supporting the insurgencies, TTP and BLA against Pakistan and had not been directly engaging Pakistan army on the eastern sector. This attempt by the Indians is a feeler to test the waters and the preparedness of Pak army. In the coming months, Indians will be conducting more or such probing attacks as the situation within Pakistan is expected to get more and more chaotic.
With the political anarchy spreading across the entire country, the levels of violence, terrorism, urban insurgency and chaos is also rising exponentially. This week also, we saw insane levels of violence in every corner of the country. There is definitely urgency within the insurgents to exploit the political and judicial anarchy.
Security forces are fighting back with all the resources in a war which is a high intensity conflict in an urban environment. From jet fighters to special operations by covert means, all axis of force is being deployed.
There is no doubt that the CIA backed TTP has been badly bruised and pushed back into Afghanistan after a long bloody slog by the Pakistan army. Now the insurgent group is weakened, isolated, dislocated and suing for peace to gain time to regroup. Signing any peace deals with the dreaded terrorist group when they are at their weakest would be a catastrophic military blunder and army is cautioning the government not to rush into any offer by the militants.
But the mission of Pakistan army has been made near to impossible by direct CIA involvement to destroy any pro-Pakistan assets in the region to fight the TTP. There is absolutely no doubt now that CIA is fighting Pakistan through the proxies of TTP and BLA and is actively eliminating all those tribals who sign peace deals with Pakistan or show their willingness to fight the TTP. This treacherous betrayal by the CIA is stil NOT acknowledged at the official levels though everyone knows about it at all levels. The secretary defense Lt General Asif Yasin Malik had even mentioned this last week.
This week, CIA eliminated a strong pro-Pakistan local militant commander, Mullah Nazeer, who had earlier survived an assassinating attempt by the TTP. Once TTP failed, CIA sent in a drone to finish the job. In another attack, another pro-Pakistan commander belonging to Hafiz Gul Bahadur group was targeted and eliminated. It is actually that dirty war where CIA is directly fighting Pakistan but the government and the army leadership still remains silent.
While the 4th and 5th generation wars rage within Pakistan, the politicians remains busy in petty squabbles, power grabbing, turf wars and preparing for elections, creating more and more anarchy every day. There is absolutely no concern for the national security, economic collapse or the political or ideological vision. It is a fish market with a bloody touch. MQM and the new entrant Dr. Tahir ul Qadri are threatening a “drone attack” on Pakistan within the next week and turning Islamabad into another Tehreer square.
The ruling PPP’s alliance with other parties is now in a chaos also with all other parties flexing their muscles and looking for best opportunities to grab more power and wealth. Downright dirty it is. Zardari is genuinely concerned now as the date of the “long march” approaches.
Meanwhile, the common citizens and the society suffer staggeringly as the government destroys the last remnants of the state and the economy. It is an artificially created crisis of gas to protect and “bless” the cartels in power to make windfall profits through imports of oil.
As the “last straw” on the camel’s back, the government plans to deploy 150,000 troops for election duties, drawing the already over stretched army from counter insurgency operations and defense of the country on the East. Drawing such a huge number of troops from the strategic reserves or from the active duty troops would mean depleting the national defense to dangerous levels. For now, Pakistan army is going along the PPP regime’s plans but in our assessment this is a fatal mistake which will have staggeringly high cost later on.
The next two weeks would be very critical and decisive in the country. On January 14th, “tehreer square” styled sit in is planned in Islamabad by “millions” of followers of Altaf Hussian and Tahir ul Qadri – the gangster and the priest have joined hands in a most bizarre alliance which is threatening not just the remains of the government but also the entire decayed political system!
If the march goes ahead, then the field would be open for all forces to intervene. The terrorists would have the sitting ducks to target. The government would deploy its resources to stop the marchers from reaching the parliament. Army would watch in silence with troops ready close by for any intervention if needed.
We would advice no traveling even within Islamabad after 12th January. The game is wide open now but the government and the judiciary as well as the media and the army remains focused on the elections for now or the spoilers who have come from outside to change the rules of the game. The national security and the 4th and 5th generation war is definitely not the priority of any of the power brokers for now. That is the real tragedy.
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